TAILIEUCHUNG - Lecture Decision analysis

This document includes these contents: What is decision analysis, decision trees, how they work, a bit on economics, critical appraisal of decision analysis, an example of some software,. Invite you to result. | Decision Analysis Dr M G Dawes Centre for Evidence Based Medicine Contents What is Decision Analysis? Decision Trees How they work Critical Appraisal of Decision Analysis A bit on economics An example of some software What is Decision Analysis? Urinary Tract Infection Patient presents with symptoms What would happen if you opted for one path in preference to another On what basis would you assess outcome How does one start? List all the options and display: Commonly accepted format is a tree diagram. UTI Decision Node Treat Don’t Treat Decision data UTI Chance Node Treat Don’t Treat better Not better better Not better Result is better than UTI Chance Node Treat Don’t Treat better Not better better Not better Add reality to probability scores Cost of tests Cost of treatment Days lost from work Cost of re attending clinician Multiply the probabilities by the costs Cost Data UTI Treat Don’t Treat better Not better better Not better 2 9 2 9 Costs Rollback Costs UTI Treat Don’t Treat better Not better better Not better 2 9 2 9 (2*) + (9*)= (*2)+(*9)= Results More people get better (90 % vs 20%) It is cheaper ( vs ) What does the patient think? Utilities How would you feel? QALYs Quality adjusted life year QALY’s From Alastair Gray Time Trade Off Method (to assess utility of a health state) You have arthritis (severe - unable to walk to shops – need a buggy – in pain most of the time) and are aged 48 Choose between living with arthritis until 80 or living in perfect health for a shorter length of time eg 50 60 70 If 70 – 65 67 69 71 73 75 Etc until chosen a year Time Trade Off Utility is 1- (number of years willing to give up/(80-current age) If age selected was 75 Utility = 1-(80-75)/(80-48) = The better your health the less the years you give up Trade Off vs Age Utilities UTI Treat Don’t Treat better Not better better Not better 9 2 9 2 Utilities .

• Y khoa - Dược
• Lecture Decision analysis
• How they work
• A bit on economics
• Critical appraisal of decision analysis
• An example of some software
• Lecture Making hard decisions
• Making hard decisions
• Decision tool suite
• Organizational use of decision analysis
• Process interweaves
• Strategic management
• Operations management
• Incremental analysis
• Decision making process
• Financial statements
• Making business decision
• Business decision tool
• Lecture Accounting
• Modeling decisions
• Decision analysis
• Subjective judgments
• Decision tools software
• Sensitivity analysis
• Requisite decision model
• Sensitivity graphs
• Tornado diagrams
• Managerial accounting
• Lecture Managerial accounting
• Financial statement
• Profitability analysis
• Differential analysis
• Decision making
• Cost analysis
• What the numbers mean
• Capital budgeting
• Sustainable income
• Financial analysis
• Cost volume profit
• Cost behavior analysis
• Cost volume profit analysis
• Process management
• Investment decision
• Economics for investment decision
• Fiscal policy
• Business cycles
• Supply analysis
• Demand analysis
• Lecture Design and Analysis of Algorithms
• Bài giảng Thiết kế và phân tích thuật toán
• Analysis of Algorithms
• Design of Algorithms
• Lower bounds for sorting
• Decision tree
• Financial accounting
• Lecture Financial accounting
• Business decision
• Kế toán tài chính
• Lecture Engineering economy
• Engineering economy
• Bài giảng Kinh tế kỹ thuật
• Decision making considering multiattributes
• Single dimension analysis
• Full dimension analysis
• Lecture Software engineering II
• Bài giảng Kỹ thuật phần mềm II
• Software engineering
• Decision tree analysis
• Risk analysis
• Quantiative methods
• Quantitative analysis
• Applied quantitative management techniques
• Management techniques
• Quantiative techniques
• Accounting for business
• Lecture Accounting for business
• Incremental benefits
• Incremental costs
• Decision making situations
• Principles of accounting
• Lecture Principles of accounting
• Nguyên lý kế toán
• Accounting information
• Analysis for decision making
• Managerial economics
• Lecture Managerial economics
• Decision making applications
• Economic decision making
• Optimal pricing