TAILIEUCHUNG - Long-Term InvesTors and TheIr asseT aLLocaTIon: Where are They noW?

What our initial study did contemplate, however, was that support measures need to be flexible to fulfill the markets’ needs. A wide spectrum of financial intermediaries, active in microfinance in the EU (microfinance institutions, “MFIs”), has been developing, and the product range offered to them has to be sufficiently wide in order to meet their diverse needs and to enable them to provide efficient support to the final beneficiaries. Now, the roll-out of Progress Microfinance is well under way since end of 2010. Progress Microfinance, jointly funded by the European Commission and the EIB aims at promoting microfinance in. | CHAPTER 2 LONG-TERM INVESTORS AND THEIR ASSET ALLOCATION WHERE ARE THEY NOW Summary p-t ihe asset allocation decisions of investors are at the core of financial flows between markets currencies and countries. This chapter aims to identify the fundamental drivers for these decisions and determine whether their influence has been altered by the global financial crisis and the subse- -JL. quent low interest rate environment in advanced economies. In particular the chapter investigates whether changes in investor behavior pose downside risks for global financial stability. To set the stage the longer-term developments in global asset allocation show three main trends i a gradual broadening of the distribution of assets across countries implying a globalization of portfolios with a slowly declining home bias ii a long-term decline in the share of assets held by pension funds and insurance companies in favor of asset management by investment companies and iii the increasing importance of the official sector in global asset allocation through sovereign wealth funds and managers of international reserves. The analysis shows that private asset allocation is driven most strongly by positive growth prospects and falling risks in the recipient countries while interest rate differentials between countries play a lesser role. The analysis does not however imply that capital flows in general do not respond to interest rate differentials since other components including investment flows of short-term leveraged investors such as those from the carry trade which this chapter does not examine might still be affected by changes in interest rates. Beyond these longer-term trends and investment drivers the empirical results and survey responses indicate that asset allocation strategies of private and official institutional investors have changed since the onset of the global financial crisis. Most importantly investors are more risk conscious including regarding the risks associated .

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