TAILIEUCHUNG - Forecasting:Techniques and Routes

Forecasting is an essential element of capital budgeting requires the commitment of significant funds today in the hope of long term benefits. The role of forecasting is the estimation of these benefits. | Ch 3: Forecasting: Techniques and Routes Introduction Forecasting is the establishment of future expectations by the analysis of past data, or the formation of opinions. Forecasting is an essential element of capital budgeting. Capital budgeting requires the commitment of significant funds today in the hope of long term benefits. The role of forecasting is the estimation of these benefits. Forecasting Techniques and Routes Techniques Routes Top-down route Bottom-up route Quantitative Qualitative Simple regressions Multiple regressions Time trends Moving averages Delphi method Nominal group technique Jury of executive opinion Scenario projection Quantitative Forecasting Quantitative: Regression with related variable Data set of ‘Sales’ as related to both time and the number of households. Quantitative Forecasting Quantitative: Sales plotted related to households. Quantitative Forecasting Quantitative: Sales regressed on households. Edited output from the Excel .

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