TAILIEUCHUNG - Economic growth and stock market development in Bahrain

This study investigates the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in the Kingdom of Bahrain over the twenty-five year period of 1990 to 2014. Using regression analysis, the study analyzes the relationship between economic growth, measured by GDP growth rate, and stock market indicators, such as size, liquidity, All-Share Index, turnover, and market capitalization. The first major finding is that stock markets indicators have influence on economic growth in Bahrain. The most significant of these variables are All-Share Index, market capitalization, and turnover ratio. This result indicates that stock market development leads to economic growth in Bahrain. Secondly, by investigating the effect of economic growth on stock market development, the study confirms that economic growth, in turn, also leads to development of the stock market. As such, when the relationship between economic growth and stock market development indicators is subjected to analysis, findings show that stock market development indicators explain variation in economic growth rates even at the sector level. These findings have clear policy implications, in that they provide evidence that strengthening the growth and reform of the stock market will help enhance economic growth in the country; therefore, the government should be encouraged to continue its efforts in this respect. | Journal of Applied Finance Banking vol. 5 no. 2 2015 67-80 ISSN 1792-6580 print version 1792-6599 online Scienpress Ltd 2015 Economic Growth and Stock Market Development in Bahrain Batool K. Asiri1 and Mohamed A. Abdalla2 Abstract This study investigates the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in the Kingdom of Bahrain over the twenty-five year period of 1990 to 2014. Using regression analysis the study analyzes the relationship between economic growth measured by GDP growth rate and stock market indicators such as size liquidity All-Share Index turnover and market capitalization. The first major finding is that stock markets indicators have influence on economic growth in Bahrain. The most significant of these variables are All-Share Index market capitalization and turnover ratio. This result indicates that stock market development leads to economic growth in Bahrain. Secondly by investigating the effect of economic growth on stock market development the study confirms that economic growth in turn also leads to development of the stock market. As such when the relationship between economic growth and stock market development indicators is subjected to analysis findings show that stock market development indicators explain variation in economic growth rates even at the sector level. These findings have clear policy implications in that they provide evidence that strengthening the growth and reform of the stock market will help enhance economic growth in the country therefore the government should be encouraged to continue its efforts in this respect JEL classification numbers O16 O40 Keywords Bahrain Bourse economic growth financial crisis stock market indicators 1Associate Professor Department of Economics Finance University of Bahrain. 2Assistant Professor Department of Economics Finance University of Bahrain. Article Info Received October 24 2014. Revised December 3 2014. Published online March 1 2015 68 Batool K. Asiri and Mohamed

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