TAILIEUCHUNG - Báo cáo " Development of climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam by using the MAGICC/SCENGEN software in combination with statistic correction"

Climate change has been happening in scales of the global, regional as well as in Vietnam because of human activities which impulse greenhouse gas increasing in the atmosphere. To cope effectively with climate change, the understanding of future climate based on climate change scenarios, particularly scenarios for small areas, is essential. This paper concerns on the application of MAGICC/SCENGEN software in combination with statistic correction to develop climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam. Results showed that the temperature is increased, while rainfall is changed. | VNU Journal of Science Earth Sciences 26 2010 179-184 Development of climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam by using the MAGICC SCENGEN software in combination with statistic correction Hoang Duc Cuong Vietnam Institute of Meteorology Hydrology and Environment 23 62 Nguyen Chi Thanh Hanoi Vietnam Received 5 December 2010 received in revised form 29 December 2010 Abstract. Climate change has been happening in scales of the global regional as well as in Vietnam because of human activities which impulse greenhouse gas increasing in the atmosphere. To cope effectively with climate change the understanding of future climate based on climate change scenarios particularly scenarios for small areas is essential. This paper concerns on the application of MAGICC SCENGEN software in combination with statistic correction to develop climate change scenarios for small areas in Vietnam. Results showed that the temperature is increased while rainfall is changed heterogeneity and seasonally in the regions in Vietnam. Keywords climate change scenario MAGICC SCENGEN. 1. Introduction Climate change is a global essential issue with increases in temperature changes in precipitation and sea level rise that cause earth s climate system changed and affected the natural environment 1 . Development of the detailed climate change scenarios for Vietnam especially at local scale and main economic regions is very important. Those scenarios are bases for assessing climate change impact on different sectors of nature socio-economics and building target program of climate change adaptation and mitigation. In which agriculture and forestry water source Tel. 84-4-37733090-308 E-mail hdcuong@ management and construction are the most important. 2. MAGICC SCENGEN software MAGICC has been used as the primary model by IPCC to proj ect the future global-mean temperature and sea level rise since 1990. The software has been studied and upgraded continually and thoroughly with .

• Báo cáo khoa học
• climate change scenarios
• earth sciences
• Research
• scientific research
• scientific reports
• Vietnam Journal of Science and Technology
• Precipitation scenarios in Ho Chi Minh city
• The context of climate change
• Developing precipitation scenarios
• The average annual precipitation
• Water use efficiency
• Climate change impacts
• Crop yield
• Irrigation water management
• Climate change
• Different planting scenarios
• Drought reconnaissance index
• Tien river estuary
• Climate change context
• Ped index
• Scenarios of meteorological drought
• Climate change and epidemiology
• Human parasitosis in Egypt
• Future of such parasitic diseases
• Scenarios for climate change
• Rice yield
• Assessment of the damage
• Climate change on rice yield
• Sea level rise
• Structure of land
• Tra Vinh province
• Climate change and sea level rise
• Drought condition
• Extreme drought
• South Central region
• Bias correction rainfall projections
• National climate change scenarios
• Tạp chí Khoa học
• Khoa học trái đất và môi trường
• Adaptation measure
• Aquacrop model
• hydrologic model
• VNU Journal of Science
• Sea level rise scenarios
• Vietnam East Sea
• Estimating sea level rise
• Global water balance based
• Journal of Zoology
• Jumping plant lice
• Psidium guajava
• Environmental distance
• Envelope Score
• Leaf roll galls