TAILIEUCHUNG - Market Making and Reversal on the Stock Exchange (Journal of American Statistical Association 1966)

Most stock exchanges operate on a "matched bargain" or "order driven" basis. When a buyer's bid price meets a seller's offer price or vice versa, the stock exchange's matching system decides that a deal has been executed. In such a system, there are no designated or official market makers, but market makers nevertheless exist. | Market Making and Reversal on the Stock Exchange Victor Niederhoffer M. F. M. Osborne STOR Journal of the American Statistical Association Volume 61 Issue 316 Dec. 1966 897-916. Stable URL http sici sici 0162-1459 28196612 2961 3A316 3C897 3AMMAROT 3B2-5 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR s Terms and Conditions of Use available at http about . JSTOR s Terms and Conditions of Use provides in part that unless you have obtained prior permission you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal non-commercial use. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. Journal of the American Statistical Association is published by American Statistical Association. Please contact the publisher for further permissions regarding the use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http joumals . Journal of the American Statistical Association 1966 American Statistical Association JSTOR and the JSTOR logo are trademarks of JSTOR and are Registered in the . Patent and Trademark Office. For more information on JSTOR contactjstor-info@. 2002 JSTOR http Thu May 16 03 51 27 2002 JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION Number 316 DECEMBER 1966 Volume 61 MARKET MAKING AND REVERSAL ON THE STOCK EXCHANGE Victor Niederhoffer University of Chicago AND M. F. M. Osborne Washington J . The accurate record of stock market ticker prices displays striking properties of dependence. We find for example that after a decline of ị of a point between transactions an advance on the next transaction is three times as likely as a decline. Further examinations disclose that after two price changes in the same direction the odds in favor of a .

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