TAILIEUCHUNG - Green growth prediction of Ho Chi Minh city by the grey theory model
The green growth prediction plays an important role to assess and monitor the growth rate of a local region. Managers and researchers can make timely adaptation policy to improve and innovate economic, cultural and environmental performance to impulse the green growth. The study used the methods such as the multiple criteria analysis, analytic hierarchy process, principal component analysis, and the grey theory model to build and integrate green growth indicators into the green growth index. | Vietnam Journal of Science and Technology 55 (4C) (2017) 20-26 GREEN GROWTH PREDICTION OF HO CHI MINH CITY BY THE GREY THEORY MODEL Nguyen Hien Than*, Doan Ngoc Nhu Tam Faculty of Resources and Environment, Thu Dau Mot University, 06 Tran Van On, Phu Hoa, Thu Dau Mot City, Binh Duong * Email: thannh@ Received: 30 June 2017; Accepted for publication: 18 October 2017 ABSTRACT The green growth prediction plays an important role to assess and monitor the growth rate of a local region. Managers and researchers can make timely adaptation policy to improve and innovate economic, cultural and environmental performance to impulse the green growth. The study used the methods such as the multiple criteria analysis, analytic hierarchy process, principal component analysis, and the grey theory model to build and integrate green growth indicators into the green growth index. The green growth index was developed by 9 subjects and 18 indicators. The data of study were collected a period of seven years from 2009 to 2015. The results of study indicated that almost districts increased the green growth index. District 1 and District 5 reached at high green growth level about 60 score, while others were classified into average green growth level. The results of green growth prediction of districts in Ho Chi Minh City also showed that the green growth index will lightly increase from 2016 – 2020. Keywords: green growth, water quality, Ho Chi Minh, grey theory, GM model. 1. INTRODUCTION Green growth emerged as a paradigm for development in few years ago [1]. According to UNEP, a green economy was defined as one that “results in improved human well-being and social equity, while significantly reducing environmental risks and ecological scarcities” [2]. In 2011, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) reported on indicators for green growth, which is a key component of the overall OECD green growth strategy. These indicators are selected based on .
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