TAILIEUCHUNG - A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CHOICE

The GCC region is a small but important part of the global economy. Its 2007 real GDP was around US$810 billion, accounting for just of the global total 12 . Despite the relatively small size of their economies and populations13 , the rate of GDP growth in GCC countries reached in 2007, which is similar to the Asia Pacific average (5% to 6%). Its growth rate exceeded the averages for Latin America, Europe, the OECD and the Middle East. In terms of GDP per capita, Qatar, the UAE, and Kuwait rank among the highest. | A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CHOICE1. Vincenzo Del Giudice1 Pierfrancesco De Paola1 Francesca Torrieri1 Francesca Pagliari2 and Peter Nijkamp3 University of Naples Federico II Department of Economic and Management Engineering Piazzale Tecchio 80 Naples Italy frtorrie@ pfdepaola@ 2University of Naples Federico II Department of Transport Engineering Luigi Tocchetti Via Claudio 21 Naples Italy fpagliar@unina 3VU University Department of Spatial Economics De Boelelaan 1105 1081 HV Amsterdam The Netherlands pnijkamp@ Pn300ft Abstract The evaluation of real estate assets is currently one of the main focal points addressed by territorial marketing strategies with a view to developing high-performing - or competitive -cities. Given the complexity of driving forces that determine the behaviour of actors in a real estate market it is necessary to identify a priori the factors that determine the competitive capacity of a city to attract investments to this market. Therefore we need a measureable decision support system that takes into account the key factors that determine the attractiveness of such investments in a competitive context. In the present paper we aim to design an integrated complex evaluation model that is able to map out and encapsulate the multidimensional spectrum of factors that shape the attractiveness of alternative real estate options. From an analytical perspective we will select relevant attributes for the specification of a random utility model capable of simulating the behaviour of market operators when they are faced with a choice between alternative real estate investment sites. Specifically a multidimensional assessment model in a decision-making context is developed in which the choice between alternative discrete investments takes place under conditions of uncertainty. This model serves two purposes i it responds to the need to define the attractiveness of an area .

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