TAILIEUCHUNG - Patterns in China use of force

The People’s Republic of China has often used force in ways that surprised and perplexed other countries. The Chinese appear to believe that, by carefully designing military operations to achieve maximum political effect, they can successfully use force even when the overall military balance is unfavorable. China’s past successes in using force in this way while avoiding a massive reaction from its adversaries may give it confidence that it | Project AIR FORCE PATTERNS IN CHINA S USE OF FORCE EVIDENCE FROM HISTORY AND DOCTRINAL WRITINGS MARK BURLES ABRAM N. SHULSKY Prepared for the UNITED STATES AIR FORCE RAND Approved for public release distribution unlimited The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract F49642-96-C-0001. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division Directorate of Plans Hq USAF. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Buries Mark 1970- Patterns in China s use of force evidence from history and doctrinal writings Mark Buries and Abram N. Shulsky. p. cm. MR-1 160-AF. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-8330-2804-9 1. China Defenses. 2. China History Military 1949- 3. China Military relations United States. 4. United States Military relations China. 5. Strategy. I. Shulsky Abram N. II. Title. UA835 .B87 1999 355 0095 l dc21 99-088091 RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND is a registered trademark. RAND s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. Copyright 2000 RAND All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means including photocopying recording or information storage and retrieval without permission in writing from RAND. Published 2000 by RAND 1700 Main Street RO. Box 2138 Santa Monica CA 90407-2138 1333 H St. . Washington . 20005-4707 RAND URL http To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information contact Distribution Services Telephone 310 451-7002 Fax 310 451-6915 Internet order@ PREFACE China is emerging as a major global and regional player that will impact . foreign policy well into the 21st century. A better understanding of China s interests as well as economic and military capabilities will assist in crisis prevention and war avoidance. This study examines the .

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