TAILIEUCHUNG - Lecture Logistics management: Lecture 21 - Dr. Khurrum S. Mughal

At the end of this lecture, students should be able to understand the concept of Just-in-time, identify and address three major issues managers must address, differentiate between push and pull scheduling, understand the lean thinking concepts and how it can be applied to cutting waste out of supply chains. | 1-1 Logistics Management LSM 730 Dr. Khurrum S. Mughal Lecture 21 1 8-2 What’s Forecasted in the Supply Chain? Spatial Vs Temporal Demand Lumpy Vs Regular Demand Derived Vs. Independent Demand CR (2004) Prentice Hall, Inc. 8-3 CR (2004) Prentice Hall, Inc. Some Forecasting Method Choices Qualitative Surveys Expert systems or rule-based Historical projection Exponential smoothing Causal or associative Regression analysis Collaborative Demand Behavior Trend a gradual, long-term up or down movement of demand Random variations movements in demand that do not follow a pattern Cycle an up-and-down repetitive movement in demand Seasonal pattern an up-and-down repetitive movement in demand occurring periodically Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 12-4 8-5 CR (2004) Prentice Hall, Inc. Typical Time Series Patterns: Random 8-6 CR (2004) Prentice Hall, Inc. Typical Time Series Patterns: Random with Trend 0 50 100 150 200 250 0 5 10 15 20 25 Time Sales Actual sales Average sales 8-7 CR (2004) Prentice Hall, Inc. Typical Time Series Patterns: Random with Trend & Seasonal 8-8 CR (2004) Prentice Hall, Inc. Typical Time Series Patterns: Lumpy Time Sales Forecasting Process 12-9 6. Check forecast accuracy with one or more measures 4. Select a forecast model that seems appropriate for data 5. Develop/compute forecast for period of historical data 8a. Forecast over planning horizon 9. Adjust forecast based on additional qualitative information and insight 10. Monitor results and measure forecast accuracy 8b. Select new forecast model or adjust parameters of existing model 7. Is accuracy of forecast acceptable? 1. Identify the purpose of forecast 3. Plot data and identify patterns 2. Collect historical data No Yes Qualitative Methods Management, marketing, purchasing, and engineering are sources for internal qualitative forecasts Delphi method involves soliciting forecasts about technological advances from experts 12-10

• Quản trị kinh doanh
• Logistics management
• Lecture Logistics management
• Quản trị logistics
• Logistical packaging
• Transport decisions
• Inventory strategy
• Quản trị logistics kinh doanh
• Bài giảng Quản trị logistics kinh doanh
• Business logistics management
• Chiến lược logistics
• Mục tiêu quản trị logistics
• Vai trò của logistics kinh doanh
• Mạng lưới tài sản logistics
• Hệ thống thông tin logistics
• Lập kế hoạch chương trình logistics
• Tổ chức logistics
• Thuê ngoài logistics
• Kiểm soát logistics
• Lecturte Logistics management
• History of logistics
• Logistics flows
• Corner store processes
• International logistics
• Global logostics
• Global logistics plans
• International supply chain
• Reverse logistics
• Operational factors reverse logistics
• Strategic reasons
• Concepts Logistics operations
• Logistics operations and management
• Models Logistics operations
• Logistics philosophies
• Logistics parties
• Logistics future trends
• Quản lý kho hàng
• Quản lý bao bì hàng hóa
• Quản lý logistics ngược
• Mạng lưới tài sản
• Kiểm soát hoạt động logistics
• Quá trình cung ứng hàng hóa
• Transport in the logistics chain
• Logistics chain
• Strategic factors impacting
• Warehouse management
• Logistics system
• Design consideration
• Logistics theory
• Lecture Logistics theory
• Lý thuyết logistics
• Logistics systems
• Inventory management
• Inventory management policy
• Direct shipment
• Dịch vụ khách hàng
• Quá trình cung ứng hàng hóa cho khách hàng
• Quá trình logistics trực tiếp trong bán lẻ
• Quản trị vận chuyển
• Hệ thống logistics
• Vận chuyển hàng hóa
• Quản lý hoạt động vận chuyển
• Total quality management
• Quality management
• Quality improvement
• Supply chain
• Value added
• Lead time
• Just in time
• Communication technology
• Satellite communication
• Electronic data interchange
• Role of packaging
• Purposes of packaging
• Logistics/SC in Diverse Areas
• Logistics Strategy Formulation
• Mixed strategy
• Supply chain strategy
• Managing facilitating goods
• Inventory cost
• Material management
• Manufacturing planning
• Production planning
• Supply chain management
• Bullwhip effect
• Control for supply chain management
• Supply chain logistics
• Management of supply chain logistics
• Supply chain logistics framework
• Warehouse replenishment systems