TAILIEUCHUNG - Comparative Efficiency of Informal (Subjective, Impressionistic) and Formal (Mechanical, Algorithmic) Prediction Procedures: The Clinical–Statistical Controversy

What can be determined from such a heterogeneous aggregation of studies, concern- ing a wide array of predictands and involving such a variety of judges, mechanical combination methods, and data? Quite a lot, as it turns out. To summarize these data quantitatively for the present purpose (see Grove et al., 2000, for details omitted here), we took the median difference between all possible pairs of clinical versus mechanical predictions for a given study as the representative outcome of that study. We converted all predictive accuracy statistics to a common metric to facilitate comparison across studies (., convert from hit rates to. | Psychology Public Policy and Law 1996 2 293-323 167 Comparative Efficiency of Informal Subjective Impressionistic and Formal Mechanical Algorithmic Prediction Procedures The Clinical-Statistical Controversy William M. Grove and Paul E. Meehl University of Minnesota Twin Cities Campus Given a data set about an individual or group . interviewer ratings life history or demographic facts test results self-descriptions there are two modes of data combination for a predictive or diagnostic purpose. The clinical method relies on human judgment that is based on informal contemplation and sometimes discussion with others . case conferences . The mechanical method involves a formal algorithmic objective procedure . equation to reach the decision. Empirical comparisons of the accuracy of the two methods 136 studies over a wide range of predictands show that the mechanical method is almost invariably equal to or superior to the clinical method Common antiactuarial arguments are rebutted possible causes of widespread resistance to the comparative research are offered and policy implications of the statistical method s superiority are discussed. In 1928 the Illinois State Board of Parole published a study by sociologist Burgess of the parole outcome for 3 000 criminal offenders an exhaustive sample of parolees in a period of years preceding. In Meehl 1954 1996 this number is erroneously reported as 1 000 a slip probably arising from the fact that 1 000 cases came from each of three Illinois prisons. Burgess combined 21 objective factors . nature of crime nature of sentence chronological age number of previous offenses in unweighted fashion by simply counting for each case the number of factors present that expert opinion considered favorable or unfavorable to successful parole outcome. Given such a large sample the predetermination of a list of relevant factors rather than elimination and selection of factors and the absence of any attempt at optimizing weights the .

• Cơ khí - Chế tạo máy
• quality between
• section examines
• important small
• development
• products and new
• overarching question
• Seed lots
• Seed quality
• Field emergence
• Seed quality parameters in fennel
• Interrelationship between different seed quality parameters
• The relationship between internal
• External audits on financial reporting quality
• Financial Reporting Quality
• Significant effect of objectivity
• The relationship between total quality management practices
• Firm performance in Vietnam
• The mediating role of non financial performance
• Total quality management
• Non – financial performance
• Firm performance represented
• Customer's satisfaction
• Service quality
• Customer’s satisfaction on service quality
• Service quality gap model
• Relationship between service quality
• New public management on the relationship between intelligence leadership
• HR quality of local government employees in Indonesia
• Performance of local government employees in Indonesia
• The performance of government employees
• Human Resource Quality
• Journa science
• International journal of financial research
• Quality management
• Japan quality award
• Empirical study
• Sleep quality
• Reduced sleep quality
• Diabetes mellitus
• Poor sleep quality
• National Geriatric Hospital
• Public health
• Pittsburgh sleep quality index
• Health related factors
• The Relationship Between Chinese Raw Dumpling Quality
• Flour Characteristics of Shandong Winter Wheat Cultivars
• Wheat samples
• Analytical methods
• Raw dumpling preparation
• Raw dumpling sensory evaluation
• Adolescent psychiatry
• Mental health
• Attention deficit
• Hyperactivity disorder
• Health related quality of life
• Acrosome integrity
• Relationship between season
• Semen quality
• Crossbred bull semen
• Seasons and post monsoon
• Customer loyalty
• Customer satisfaction
• Price perception
• Summary of dissertation
• Relationship between student engagement
• Student engagement
• Quality of college life
• College life
• Contributory parameters
• Correlation between yield
• Yield contributory parameters
• Yield contributory parameters and quality of okra
• Bio regulators
• Social sciences
• Relationship between perceived directors' leadership
• Classroom quality of primary schools
• Creative leadership
• Primary education
• Report on scientific research
• Automated Services Banks
• Quality ATM Banhks
• Quality Internet banking
• Services Telephone banking
• Confirmatory Factor Analysis
• BMC Pediatrics
• Specific language impairment
• Quality of life
• Autistic Spectrum Disorder
• BMC Geriatrics
• Home and community care
• Aged care services
• Quality indicators
• Measuring person centred outcomes
• Cardiac rehabilitation
• Dilated cardiomyopathy
• Diastolic dysfunction
• Health related quality
• trình bày báo cáo
• tài liệu báo cáo khoa học
• nghiên cứu y học
• báo cáo y học
• kiến thức y học
• báo cáo khoa học
• báo cáo hóa học
• công trình nghiên cứu về hóa học
• tài liệu về hóa học
• cách trình bày báo cáo
• CASINO RESTAURANTS
• thesis
• internship reports
• project course
• graduate thesis
• Telecommunication industry of Laos
• Telecommunication companies
• Dịch vụ internet banking
• Marketing dịch vụ internet banking
• Kế hoạch marketing ngân hàng
• Tiểu luận quản trị marketing
• Đề tài quản trị marketing
• Quản trị marketing
• Retail Industry
• Electronic Supermarket