TAILIEUCHUNG - Lecture Quantitative investment analysis: Chapter 10 – CFA Institute

Chapter 10 - Time-series analysis. This chapter introduces time series as a concept, and the basic autoregressive process makes it easy to see where the correlation of the error terms can be a problem; discuss the factors affecting the choice between a linear trend and a log-linear trend model for a time series incorporating a trend; | Time-series analysis Basic time series Data on the outcome of a variable or variables in different time periods are known as time-series data. Time-series data are prevalent in finance and can be particularly challenging because they are likely to violate the underlying assumptions of linear regression. Residual errors are correlated instead of being uncorrelated, leading to inconsistent coefficient estimates. The mean and/or variance of the explanatory variables may change over time, leading to invalid regression results. Example of a basic time series known as an autoregressive process: 2 This slide introduces time series as a concept, and the basic autoregressive process makes it easy to see where the correlation of the error terms can be a problem. If we are using time-series observations on a given variable, x, then observations in two or more periods are likely to be related to observations from the prior period purely by construction (they may not be so but are likely to be so)

• Quản trị kinh doanh
• Quantitative Investment Analysis
• Investment process
• Quantitative methods
• Cash flow
• Time series analysis
• Trend analysis
• Multiple regression
• Regression analysis
• Mean variance analysis
• Efficient portfolios
• Interest rates
• Annuity due values
• Discounted cash flow applications
• Net present value
• Statistical concepts
• Market returns
• Candom variable
• Probability concepts
• Probability distributions
• Random variable
• Simple random sampling
• Point estimate
• Hypothesis testing
• Test statistic
• Sample covariance
• Correlation coefficient
• Quantitative investment analysis workbook
• The time value of money
• Portfolio concepts
• Industrial park
• Investor satisfaction
• Foreign direct investment
• Exploratory factor analysis
• Quantitative model
• Trichothecene Groups
• Other Applications
• GC MS Analysis
• Secondary Metabolites
• Qualitative and Quantitative
• Determinations
• Collateral Constraints
• Debt Management
• Investment Incentives
• Programming Marketing
• Earnings Management
• Tax System