TAILIEUCHUNG - The World Bank in Russia Russian Economic Report: Moderating Risks, Bolstering Growth

Even if the annual flow of emissions did not increase beyond today's rate, the stock of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere would reach double pre-industrial levels by 2050 - that is 550ppm CO2e - and would continue growing thereafter. But the annual flow of emissions is accelerating, as fast-growing economies invest in high- carbon infrastructure and as demand for energy and transport increases around the world. The level of 550ppm CO2e could be reached as early as 2035. At this level there is at least a 77% chance - and perhaps up to a 99% chance, depending. | The World Bank in Russia Russian Economic Report Moderating Risks Bolstering Growth N 27 Spring 2012 I Recent Economic Developments II Economic Outlook III In Focus World Trade Organization Accession A Unique and Important Opportunity for Economic Development WORLD BANK http eca rer http The report was prepared by a World Bank core team consisting of Sergei Ulatov Economist Karlis Smits Senior Economist Stepan Titov Senior Economist Victor Sulla Economist Kate Mansfield Consultant and Olga Emelyanova Research Analyst under the direction of Kaspar Richter Lead Economist and Country Sector Coordinator for economic policy and public sector in Russia . David Tarr consultant authored the focus note on WTO accession Shane Streifel Consultant provided the box on the global oil market and Dilek Aykut Senior Economist provided the assessment on the global outlook. Advice from and discussions with Michal Rutkowski Country Director for Russia Yvonne Tsikata Director for Poverty Reduction and Economic Management in the Europe and Central Asia Region Benu Bidani Sector Manager for Russia Ukraine Belarus and Moldova Lada Strelkova Country Program Coordinator for Russia and Carolina Sanchez Lead Economist and Regional Poverty Coordinator are gratefully acknowledged. 1 Executive Summary Half a year ago Russia s economic prospects looked uncertain. The global economy was losing momentum the expansion in the euro area was grinding to a halt and commodity prices were beginning to fall. Yet while output growth is slowing this year in line with weaker growth in Europe and elsewhere Russia s latest economy performance has been solid though aided by favorable oil prices. The economy returned to the pre-crisis peak towards the end of last year supported by strong consumption as growth held steady at the same rate as in 2010. In 2011 measured in current dollars Russia s economy was the ninth biggest in the world compared to the eleventh biggest in

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