TAILIEUCHUNG - SAS/ETS 9.22 User's Guide 303

SAS/Ets User's Guide 303. Provides detailed reference material for using SAS/ETS software and guides you through the analysis and forecasting of features such as univariate and multivariate time series, cross-sectional time series, seasonal adjustments, multiequational nonlinear models, discrete choice models, limited dependent variable models, portfolio analysis, and generation of financial reports, with introductory and advanced examples for each procedure. You can also find complete information about two easy-to-use point-and-click applications: the Time Series Forecasting System, for automatic and interactive time series modeling and forecasting, and the Investment Analysis System, for time-value of money analysis of a variety of investments | 3012 F Chapter 50 Investments Figure Uniform Cashflow Specification Clicking Subtract subtracts the current cashflow from the Generic Cashflow dialog box and it returns you to the Generic Cashflow dialog box. You can generate arithmetic and geometric specifications by clicking them within the Series Flow Type area. However you must enter a value for the Gradient. In both cases the Level value is the value of the list at the Starting Date. With an arithmetic flow type entries increment by the value Gradient for each Time Interval. With a geometric flow type entries increase by the factor Gradient for each Time Interval. Figure displays an arithmetic cashflow with a Level of 100 and a Gradient of 12. Generic Cashflow Tasks F 3013 Figure Arithmetic Cashflow Specification Including a Forecasted Cashflow To generate date-amount pairs for the Cashflow Specification area follow these steps 1. Right-click in the Cashflow Specification area and release on Forecast to open the Forecast Specification dialog box. 2. Enter as the Data Set. 3. Select SALES for the Analysis Variable. 4. Click Compute Forecast to generate the forecast. You can visualize the forecast in the Cashflow Chart area see Figure . 5. Click Add to add the forecast to the list in the Generic Cashflow dialog box. Clicking Add also returns you to the Generic Cashflow dialog box. 3014 F Chapter 50 Investments Figure Cashflow Forecast Clicking Subtract subtracts the current forecast from the Generic Cashflow dialog box and it returns you to the Generic Cashflow dialog box. To review the values from the SAS data set you forecast click View Table or View Graph. You can adjust the following values for the SAS data set you forecast Time ID Variable Time Interval and Analysis Variable. You can adjust the following values for the forecast the Horizon the Confidence and choice of predicted value lower confidence limit and upper confidence limit. Using the Cashflow Chart .

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