TAILIEUCHUNG - Forecasting exports and imports through artificial neural network and autoregressive integrated moving average

In this study, total annual exports and imports of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia are forecasted using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models. | Forecasting exports and imports through artificial neural network and autoregressive integrated moving average Decision Science Letters 8 2019 249 260 Contents lists available at GrowingScience Decision Science Letters homepage dsl Forecasting exports and imports through artificial neural network and autoregressive integrated moving average Teg Alama aCollege of Business Administration Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University Al Kharj Kingdom of Saudi Arabia CHRONICLE ABSTRACT Article history Nowadays Saudi government has established several strategic tactics such as Saudi Vision 2030 Received January 2 2019 to predict the future of the country. In order to accomplish a superior growth in the economy of Received in revised format the country mathematical model and forecasting techniques are important tools. In this study January 28 2019 total annual exports and imports of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia are forecasted using Artificial Accepted February 14 2019 Available online Neural Network ANN and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average ARIMA models. This February 14 2019 paper tries to predict a time series data using ANN and ARIMA models on total annual exports Keywords and imports of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia from the year 1968 to the year 2017 with the help of Artificial Neural Networks ANN statistical software XLSTAT. The applied models are used to predict some future values of total Autoregressive Integrated Moving annual exports and imports of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It is found that the ANN and Average ARIMA ARIMA 1 1 2 and ARIMA 0 1 1 models are suitable for predicting the total annual exports Forecasting and imports of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Export and Import Kingdom of Saudi Arabia 2018 by the authors licensee Growing Science Canada. 1. Introduction The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia preserves the largest amount of export of petroleum and it has the second-largest proven petroleum and the fifth-largest proven natural gas reserves

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