TAILIEUCHUNG - Global Financial Stability Report - Durable Financial Stability

In what follows, we draw on these techniques to model contagion stemming from unexpected shocks in complex nancial networks with arbitrary structure, and then use numerical simulations to illustrate and clarify the intuition underpinning our analytical results. Our framework explicitly accounts for the nature and scale of aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks and allows asset prices to interact with balance sheets. The complex network structure and interactions between nancial intermediaries make for non-linear system dynamics, whereby contagion risk can be highly sensitive to small changes in parameters. We analyse this feature of our model by isolating the probability and spread of contagion when claims and obligations are interlinked. In. | World Economic and Financial Surveys Global Financial Stability Report Durable Financial Stability Getting There from Here World Economic and Financial Surveys Global Financial Stability Report Durable Financial Stability Getting There from Here April 2011 International Monetary Fund Washington DC 2011 International Monetary Fund Production IMF Multimedia Services Division Cover Creative Services Figures Theodore F. Peters Jr. Typesetting Michelle Martin Cataloging-in-Publication Data Global financial stability report Washington DC International Monetary Fund 2002- v. cm. World economic and financial surveys 0258-7440 Semiannual Some issues also have thematic titles. ISSN 1729-701X 1. Capital market Developing countries Periodicals. 2. International finance Periodicals. 3. Economic stabilization Periodicals. I. International Monetary Fund. II. Series World economic and financial surveys. ISBN 978-1-61635-060-4 Please send orders to International Monetary Fund Publication Services . Box 92780 Washington . 20090 . Tel. 202 623-7430 Fax 202 623-7201 E-mail publications@ Internet .

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