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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Oliker, Olga. Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the south Caucasus : implications for the U.S. Army / Olga Oliker, Thomas Szayna p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. “MR-1598.” ISBN 0-8330-3260-7 1. Asia, Central—Strategic aspects. 2. Caucasus—Strategic aspects. 3. United States—Military policy. 4. United States. Army—Foreign service—Asia, Central. 5. United States. Army—Foreign service—Caucasus. I. Szayna, Thomas S. II. Rand Corporation. III.Title. UA832.2 .O42 2003 355'.033058—dc21 2002012824. | Faultlines O F in Central Asia and the South Caucasus Implications for the U.S. Army EDITED BY Olga Oliker Thomas S. Szayna United States Army RAND Arroyo Center Approved for public release distribution unlimited The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Army under Contract No. DASW01-01-C-0003. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Oliker Olga. Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the south Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army Olga Oliker Thomas Szayna. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. MR-1598. ISBN 0-8330-3260-7 1. Asia Central Strategic aspects. 2. Caucasus Strategic aspects. 3. United States Military policy. 4. United States. Army Foreign service Asia Central. 5. United States. Army Foreign service Caucasus. I. Szayna Thomas S. II. Rand Corporation. III.Title. UA832.2 .O42 2003 355 .033058 dc21 2002012824 RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND is a registered trademark. RAND s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. Cover design by Barbara Angell Caslon Copyright 2003 RAND All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means including photocopying recording or information storage and retrieval without permission in writing from RAND. Published 2003 by RAND 1700 Main Street PO. Box 2138 Santa Monica CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington VA 22202-5050 201 North Craig Street Suite 202 Pittsburgh PA 15213-1516 RAND URL http www.rand.org To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information contact Distribution Services Telephone 310 451-7002 Fax 310 451-6915 Email order@rand.org Faultlines O F in Central Asia and the South Caucasus Implications for the U.S. .