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Like that of most technical analysts, my analytical work for many years relied on . | INTERMARKET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TRADING STRATEGIES FOR THE GLOBAL STOCK BOND COMMODITY AND CURRENCY MARKETS John J. Murphy Wiley Finance Editions JOHN WILEY SONS INC. New York Chichester Brisbane Toronto Singapore In recognition of the importance of preserving what has been written it is a policy of John Wiley Sons Inc. to have books of enduring value printed on acid-free paper and we exert our best efforts to that end. Copyright 1991 by John J. Murphy Published by John Wiley Sons Inc. All rights reserved. Published simultaneously in Canada. Reproduction or translation of any part of this work beyond that permitted by Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act without the permission ofthe copyright owner is unlawful. Requests for permission or further information should be addressed to the Permissions Department John Wiley Sons Inc. This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal accounting or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert assistance is required the services of a competent professional person should be sought. From a Declaration of Principles jointly adopted by a Committee of the American Bar Association and a Committee of Publishers. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Murphy John J. Intermarket technical analysis trading strategies for the global stock bond commodity and currency markets John J. Murphy. p. cm. Wiley finance editions Includes index. ISBN 0-471-52433-6 cloth 1. Investment analysis. 2. Portfolio management. I. Title. II. Series. HG4529.M86 1991 332.6-dc20 90-48567 Printed in the United States of America 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 Contents Preface V 1 A New Dimension in Technical Analysis 1 2 The 1987 Crash Revisited an Intermarket Perspective 12 3 Commodity Prices and Bonds 20 4 Bonds Versus Stocks 40 5 Commodities and the U.S. Dollar 56
