TAILIEUCHUNG - Book: Study on Strategic Evaluation on Transport Investment Priorities under Structural and Cohesion funds for the Programming

As with every hypothesis test, inference based on alpha estimates can lead to the detection of a lucky fund, namely a fund with a significant estimated alpha, while its true alpha is equal to zero. When a single performance test is run on the estimated alpha of one fund (or one portfolio of funds1), luck is easily controlled by setting the significance level γ (or alternatively the Size of the test). For instance, if γ is set to , the probability of finding one lucky fund under the hypothesis that its alpha is zero amounts to , by construction. The difficulty raised by the standard approach. | Study on Strategic Evaluation on Transport Investment Priorities under Structural and Cohesion funds for the Programming Period 2007-2013 No Country Report Latvia Final Report Client European Commission DG-REGIO ECORYS Nederland BV Rotterdam September 2006 ECORYS Nederland BV . Box 4175 3006 AD Rotterdam Watermanweg 44 3067 GG Rotterdam The Netherlands T 31 0 10 453 88 00 F 31 0 10 453 07 68 E netherlands@ W Registration no. 24316726 ECORYS Transport T 31 0 10 453 87 59 F 31 0 10 452 36 80 ECORYS

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