TAILIEUCHUNG - Báo cáo hóa học: " Migratory birds, the H5N1 influenza virus and the scientific method"

Tuyển tập báo cáo các nghiên cứu khoa học quốc tế ngành hóa học dành cho các bạn yêu hóa học tham khảo đề tài: Migratory birds, the H5N1 influenza virus and the scientific method | Virology Journal BioMed Central Open Access Debate Migratory birds the H5N1 influenza virus and the scientific method Thomas P Weber 1 and Nikolaos I Stilianakis1 2 Address 1Joint Research Centre European Commission . 267 Via Enrico Fermi 2749 I-21027 Ispra Italy and 2University Erlangen- Nuremberg Department of Biometry and Epidemiology Waldstr. 6 D-91054 Erlangen Germany Email Thomas P Weber - Nikolaos I Stilianakis - Corresponding author Published 9 May 2008 Received 6 March 2008 _ Accepted 9 May 2008 Virology journal 2008 5 57 doi 1743-422X-5-57 This article is available from http content 5 1 57 2008 Weber and Stilianakis licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http licenses by which permits unrestricted use distribution and reproduction in any medium provided the original work is properly cited. Abstract Background The role of migratory birds and of poultry trade in the dispersal of highly pathogenic H5NI is still the topic of intense and controversial debate. In a recent contribution to this journal Flint argues that the strict application of the scientific method can help to resolve this issue. Discussion We argue that Flint s identification of the scientific method with null hypothesis testing is misleading and counterproductive. There is far more to science than the testing of hypotheses not only the justification bur also the discovery of hypotheses belong to science. We also show why null hypothesis testing is weak and that Bayesian methods are a preferable approach to statistical inference. Furthermore we criticize the analogy put forward by Flint between involuntary transport of poultry and long-distance migration. Summary To expect ultimate answers and

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