TAILIEUCHUNG - Focus Article: Taking Stock Of Naturalistic Decision Making

Distressed securities can be defined narrowly as those publicly held and traded debt and equity securities of firms that have defaulted on their debt obligations and/or have filed for protection under Chapter 11 of the . Bankruptcy Code. A more comprehensive definition would include those publicly held debt securities selling at sufficiently discounted prices so as to be yielding, should they not default, a significant premium over comparable duration . Treasury bonds. For this segment, I have chosen a premium of a minimum of 10 percent over comparable . With interest rates falling as much as they have by late-1998, this definition would currently. | Journal of Behavioral Decision Making J. Behav. Dec. Making 14 331-352 2001 DOI Focus Article Taking Stock of Naturalistic Decision Making RAANAN LIPSHITZ1 GARY KLEIN2 JUDITH ORASANU3 and EDUARDO SALAS4 1 University of Haifa Israel 2KleinAssociates USA 3NASA Ames USA 4 University of Central Florida USA ABSTRACT We review the progress of naturalistic decision making NDM in the decade since the hrst conference on the subject in 1989. After setting out a brief history of NDM we identify its essential characteristics and consider hve of its main contributions recognition-primed decisions coping with uncertainty team decision making decision errors and methodology. NDM helped identify important areas of inquiry previously neglected . the use of expertise in sizing up situations and generating options it introduced new models conceptualizations and methods and recruited applied investigators into the held. Above all NDM contributed a new perspective on how decisions broadly dehned as committing oneself to a certain course of action are made. NDM still faces signihcant challenges including improvement of the quantity and rigor of its empirical research and conhrming the validity of its prescriptive models. Copyright 2001 John Wiley Sons Ltd. KEY WORDS naturalistic decision making recognition-primed decisions coping with uncertainty team decision making decision errors decision training research methodology The study of decision making is studded by three-letter acronyms designating sub-disciplines which evolved partly as extensions of preceding sub-disciplines and partly as a reaction to them the once-popular CDM Classical Decision Making BDT Behavioral Decision Theory JDM Judgment and Decision Making ODM Organizational Decision Making and most recently NDM Naturalistic Decision Making . The emergence of each sub-discipline can be conveniently traced to the publication of books or papers signifying the time at which theory and research pursued more or .

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