TAILIEUCHUNG - Global Economic Research - Global Forecast Update

An important factor to consider when taking out a loan is whether the loan is secured or unsecured. Examples of secured loans are personal loans (secured on wages), car loans (secured on the car) and mortgage loans (secured on the property). Examples of unsecured loans are credit card balances and overdrafts. Having a secured loan is usually cheaper than an unsecured loan. Repayment Methods Most personal loans in Bahrain are amortised. The amortisation payment (installment) includes repayment of part of the principal and the month’s interest for the loan. The payment is a fixed amount and is due the same time each month. . | Global Economic Research December 20 2012 Global Forecast Update New Year Wish List More Growth We expect that global growth will build momentum albeit gradually over the next two years. The Federal Reserve has introduced another and significant round of non-conventional monetary accommodation that along with the winding down of household deleveraging in the . will help support increased spending homebuilding and risk-taking at a time of increased federal fiscal restraint. The central banks in the euro zone the . and Japan will provide more support as needed. Many of the larger developing nations have already implemented additional monetary and fiscal stimulus to maintain comparatively stronger growth trajectories in the absence of more robust conditions in the developed economies. These countries and regions have the financial and institutional capabilities to rebalance towards more domestically generated growth. In particular increased infrastructure spending will underpin demand for most commodities and keep prices at profitable levels. However global growth remains comparatively soft and uneven heading into the New Year. The developed nations are still stuck in the slow lane of activity. Economic performances range from recession through much of Europe to minimal growth in Japan and only moderate advances in Canada and the . in 2013. The pace of growth in the developing countries is comparatively firmer. While activity is still relatively sluggish in Brazil it is generally good in Mexico India and South Korea and relatively solid in most of the other major Latin American and Asia-Pacific nations. Recent evidence suggests that China s economy is regaining momentum in response to renewed stimulus and improved domestic spending. A number of developed economies are implementing the medium-term Index Overview 1-2 Forecasts International 3-4 Commodities 4 North America 5 Provincial 6 Financial .

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