TAILIEUCHUNG - A Special Research Report: 2010 Real Estate Investment Outlook

Real estate investment is about creating and adding value through the effective management of property assets. Real estate is fundamentally no different from other mainstream investments: the analysis of property investments can be easily integrated into the capital market framework. Capital asset pricing theory evolved into the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The CAPM model, described by Franfurter (1995: 104) as the ‘keystone’ of financial theory, has been tested in financial securites (stock exchange) markets over three decades. Accordingly CAPM was adapted in this study to incorporate real estate variables, and its accuracy was tested in modelling the price of three bedroom houses and two bedroom flats using. | A Special Research Report 2010 Real Estate Investment Outlook Will more buyers result in more sales Financing pricing gap and wait for distressed sales are blocking the path for investors. After a quiet year of investment sales buyers are preparing to forge ahead with acquisitions in 2010. Two-thirds of investors 65 who responded to the 6th Annual Investment Survey plan to boost their investment in commercial real estate over the next 12 months. That figure is up from 56 in the third quarter and 51 a year ago. The exclusive survey is produced jointly by National Real Estate Investor and Marcus Millichap. The fact that buyers are once again returning to the table is a huge vote of confidence for a commercial real estate industry that has been slammed in the past year by falling property values occupancies and rents. Respondents to the annual survey who do plan to expand existing portfolios anticipate an average increase of 26 up from 24 in the third quarter and 22 a year earlier Figure 1 . Yet there may be a significant disconnect between what investors hope to achieve and what will be feasible in a market that remains fraught with challenges. The survey which polled 506 respondents between Oct. 9 and Nov 5 shows that investors are well aware of the obstacles that lie ahead. Chief among those impediments are the continued lack of financing a narrower but still sizable gap between buyer and seller price expectations and uncertainty related to the volume of distressed properties coming to market. We have seen buyer traffic pick up substantially over the last two to three months. The logjam is largely created by extremely conservative financing and underwriting that has Survey Methodology Penton Research collected data for the Annual Investment Outlook from Oct. 9 through Nov. 5. The e-mail survey yielded 506 responses. The purpose of the survey was threefold 1. to examine current real estate investments among clients of Marcus Millichap Real Estate .

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