TAILIEUCHUNG - WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK April 2010

A number of assumptions have been adopted for the projections presented in the World Economic Outlook. It has been assumed that real eff ective exchange rates remained constant at their average levels during February 23–March 23, 2010, except for the currencies participating in the European exchange rate mechanism II (ERM II), which are assumed to have remained constant in nominal terms relative to the euro; that established policies of national authorities will be maintained (for specifi c assumptions about fi scal and monetary policies for selected economies, see Box A1); that the average price of oil will be $ a barrel in 2010 and $ a. | World Economic and Financial Surveys WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK April 2010 Rebalancing Growth International Monetary Fund 2010 International Monetary Fund Production IMF Multimedia Services Division Cover and Design Luisa Menjivar and Jorge Salazar Composition Maryland Composition Cataloging-in-Publication Data World economic outlook International Monetary Fund World economic outlook a survey by the staff of the International Monetary Fund. Washington DC International Monetary Fund 1980 v. 28 cm. 1981 1984 Occasional paper International Monetary Fund 0251-6365 . 1986 World economic and financial surveys 0256-6877 Semiannual. Has occasional updates 1984 1. Economic history 1971 1990 Periodicals. 2. Economic history 1990---- Periodicals. I. International Monetary Fund. II. Series Occasional paper International Monetary Fund . III. Series World economic and financial surveys. 84-640155 443 09048 dc19 AACR2 MARC-S ISBN 978-1-58906-915-2 Please send orders to International Monetary Fund Publication Services 700 19th Street . Washington . 20431 . Tel. 202 623-7430 Fax 202 623-7201 E-mail publications@ CONTENTS Assumptions and Conventions ix Preface xi Joint Foreword to World Economic Outlook and Global Financial Stability Report xii Executive Summary xiv Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies 1 Recovery Is Stronger than Expected but Speed Varies 1 Financial Conditions Are Easing but Not for All Sectors 3 Capital Is Again Flowing to Emerging Economies 4 Policy Support Has Been Essential in Fostering Recovery 5 Multispeed Recovery to Continue during 2010 11 6 Inflation Pressures Are Generally Subdued but Diverge 9 Important Risks Remain amid Sharply Diminished Room for Policy Maneuvers 11 Policies Need to Sustain and Strengthen Recovery 13 Global Demand Rebalancing The Role of Credibility and Policy Coordination 25 Appendix . Commodity Market Developments and Prospects 27 References 41 Chapter 2. Country and Regional

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