TAILIEUCHUNG - Confronting Iraq - U.S. Policy and the Use of Force Since the Gulf War

Although Iraq remains hostile to the United States, Baghdad has repeatedly compromised, and at times caved, in response to . pressure and threats. An analysis of attempts to coerce Iraq since Desert Storm reveals that military strikes and other forms of pressure that threatened Saddam Husayn’s relationship with his power base | Confronting IRAQ . Policy and the Use of Force Since the Gulf War DANIEL L. BYMAN MATTHEW c. WAXMAN Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense National Defense Research Institute RAND Approved for public release distribution unlimited The research described in this report was sponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense OSD . The research was conducted in RAND s National Defense Research Institute a federally funded research and development center supported by the OSD the Joint Staff the unified commands and the defense agencies under Contract DASW01-95-C-0059. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Byman Daniel 1967- Confroniing Iraq . policy and the use of force since the Gulf War Daniel L. Byman and Matthew c. Waxman. p. cm. MR-1146-OSD. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-8330-2813-8 J. United Slates Foreign relations Iraq. 2. Iraq Foreign relations United States. 3. United States Foreign relations 1989- 4. United States Military policy. I. Waxman Matthew c. 1972- II. Title. B9 2000 dc21 00-020586 RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND is a registered trademark. RAND s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. Copyright 2000 RAND All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means including photocopying recording or information storage and retrieval without permission in writing from RAND. Published 2000 by RAND 1700 Main Street . Box 2138 Santa Monica CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington VA 22202-5050 RAND URL http To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information contact Distribution Services Telephone 310 451-7002 Fax 310 451-6915 Internet order@ PREFACE Although Saddam Husayn s Iraq has regularly defied . pressure a close look at recent history reveals that Baghdad has .

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