TAILIEUCHUNG - Advanced Automotive Technologies

The automobile has come to symbolize the essence of a modern industrial society. Perhaps more than any other single icon, it is associated with a desire for independence and freedom of movement; it is an expression of economic status and personal style. Automobile production is also critically important to the major industrial economies of the world. In the United States, for instance, about 5 percent of all workers are employed directly (including fuel production and distribution) by the auto Technological change in the auto industry can potentially influence not only the kinds of cars that are driven, but also. | Advanced Automotive Technology Visions of a Super-Efficient Family Car September 1995 OTA-ETI-638 GPO stock 052-003-01440-8 Advanced Automotive Technology HiJOJij fl fl feuniiy car Foreword This report presents the results of the Office of Technology Assessment s analysis of the prospects for developing automobiles that offer significant improvements in fuel economy and reduced emissions over the longer term out to the year 2015 . The congressional request for this study from the House Committees on Commerce and on Science and the Senate Committees on Energy and Natural Resources and on Governmental Affairs-asked OTA to examine the potential for dramatic increases in light-duty vehicle fuel economy through the use of breakthrough technologies and to assess the federal role in advancing the development and commercialization of these technologies. The report examines the likely costs and performance of a range of technologies and vehicle types and the . and foreign research and development programs for these technologies and vehicles to allow completion of this study before OTA closed its doors issues such as infrastructure development and market develop-ment---critical to the successful commercialization of advanced vehicles-were not covered . In particular the report presents a baseline forecast of vehicle progress in a business-as-usual environment and then projects the costs and performance of advanced conventional vehicles that retain conventional drivetrains internal combustion engine plus transmission electric vehicles hybrid vehicles that combine electric drivetrains with an engine or other power source and fuel cell vehicles. OTA has focused on mass-market vehicles particularly on the mid-size family car with performance comparable to those available to consumers today. Based on our analysis OTA is quite optimistic that very high levels of fuel economy-up to three times current averages are technically achievable by 2015 attaining these levels at a .

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